Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask1514¢
ask2007¢
ask1,0005¢
ask1975¢
ask9904¢
ask3004¢
ask7803¢
ask2603¢
spread0¢mid 3¢
bid1,6013¢
bid5501¢
bid1,0001¢
bid2,0001¢
bid20.0k1¢
bid21.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
97¢
96
no
4d ago
3¢
97¢
18
yes
10d ago
4¢
96¢
1
yes
18d ago
3¢
97¢
22
no
18d ago
4¢
96¢
10
yes
18d ago
3¢
97¢
10
no
19d ago
3¢
97¢
260
no
19d ago
3¢
97¢
470
no
22d ago
3¢
97¢
19
no
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
700
no
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
2
no
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
11
yes
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
11
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
809
no
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
3
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
26
no
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
119
no
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
142
no
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
1.61
yes
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
17
yes
1mo ago
5¢
95¢
1
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
41
no
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
4.38
yes
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
1.62
yes
2mo ago
4¢
97¢
1
no
event_ticker
KXABRAHAMQ-27
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0300
latest_expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9700
no_bid_dollars0.9670
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp41486.98
open_time2024-11-21T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0340
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0330
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0300
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Israel and Qatar normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
subtitleBefore Jan 1, 2027
tickerKXABRAHAMQ-27-JAN01
titleWill Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?