Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave office next in this set?

Cyril Ramaphosaactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

12¢ / 16¢

spread 4¢

Last trade

9¢

–

No bid / ask

84¢ / 88¢

24h volume

0

2,338 lifetime

Open interest

1,621

top of book 11 × 715

Closes

in 101mo

Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.

An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.

opens: Feb 6, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2035-01-01T15:00:00Z

created_time2025-02-05T22:33:11.352348Z

custom_strike1

Person

Cyril Ramaphosa

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a leader leaves office.

event_tickerKXAFRICALEADEROUT-35

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2035-01-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_time2035-01-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.0900

latest_expiration_time2035-01-01T15:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.8800

no_bid_dollars0.8400

no_sub_titleCyril Ramaphosa

notional_value_dollars1.0000

open_interest_fp1621.17

open_time2025-02-06T15:00:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.0900

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1600

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1200

price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent

price_ranges3

[0]3

end0.1000

start0.0000

step0.0010

[1]3

end0.9000

start0.1000

step0.0100

[2]3

end1.0000

start0.9000

step0.0010

result

rules_primaryIf the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryAn announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.

settlement_timer_seconds1800