Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
opens
Mar 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
7h ago
13¢
87¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-03-03T14:22:53.773623Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask246¢
ask30026¢
ask20025¢
ask20020¢
ask2419¢
ask8415¢
ask214¢
ask413¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
bid24012¢
bid33310¢
bid9999¢
bid38¢
bid4337¢
bid8846¢
bid5,4015¢
bid5004¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
5
yes
21h ago
12¢
88¢
3.33
no
2d ago
14¢
86¢
2
no
2d ago
14¢
86¢
9
no
3d ago
18¢
82¢
53
yes
3d ago
16¢
84¢
5
yes
3d ago
17¢
83¢
51
yes
3d ago
15¢
85¢
111
no
3d ago
7¢
93¢
22
no
3d ago
7¢
93¢
163
no
3d ago
10¢
90¢
1,000
no
3d ago
13¢
87¢
200
no
3d ago
12¢
88¢
200
no
3d ago
14¢
86¢
28
no
3d ago
8¢
92¢
47
no
3d ago
13¢
87¢
77
no
3d ago
13¢
87¢
55
no
3d ago
17¢
83¢
200
no
3d ago
21¢
79¢
43
no
3d ago
21¢
79¢
498
no
4d ago
23¢
77¢
0.2
yes
5d ago
21¢
79¢
23
no
5d ago
21¢
79¢
2.13
no
6d ago
21¢
79¢
0.62
no
6d ago
21¢
79¢
13
no
Company
any company
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a qualifying announcement occurs.
event_tickerKXAGICO-COMP
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.1300
latest_expiration_time2027-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8800
no_bid_dollars0.8700
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp10263.86
open_time2026-03-03T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryTo qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXAGICO-COMP-26Q4
titleWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2027?