Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2028?

Before Jan 1, 2028activebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

66¢ / 74¢

spread 8¢

Last trade

65¢

−4¢

No bid / ask

26¢ / 34¢

24h volume

13.7k lifetime

Open interest

5,121

top of book 200 × 3,005

Closes

in 16mo

Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

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Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

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Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.

opens: Mar 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
5h ago	65¢	35¢

Raw payload

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market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z

created_time2026-03-03T14:22:53.773623Z

custom_strike1