Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation. The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated. For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts. For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election. If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid. If cancelled or not held within one year, the market resolves to No.
opens
Aug 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Sep 8, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Sep 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
29d ago
14¢
86¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market39
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-09-08T14:00:00Z
created_time2025-08-27T20:35:39.991367Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the party's ballot status is officially confirmed.
ask43891¢
ask50114¢
spread6¢mid 11¢
bid1008¢
bid5007¢
bid15¢
bid1402¢
bid2002¢
bid451¢
bid1,5591¢
bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
11
yes
1mo ago
7¢
93¢
10
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
50
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
50
no
2mo ago
10¢
91¢
84
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
50
no
2mo ago
22¢
78¢
31
yes
event_ticker
KXAMERICAPARTY2028-28SEP01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-09-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-09-08T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.1400
latest_expiration_time2028-09-08T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9230
no_bid_dollars0.8600
no_sub_titlea party founded by Elon Musk
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp2194.42
open_time2025-08-27T20:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0770
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation. The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated. For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts. For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election. If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid. If cancelled or not held within one year, the market resolves to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXAMERICAPARTY2028-28SEP01
titleWill a party founded by Elon Musk contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?