Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Rothschild & Co serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
opens
Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
13d ago
19¢
81¢
12
no
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-06-03T16:36:27.039892Z
custom_strike1
spread8¢mid 23¢
bid20019¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
25d ago
17¢
83¢
500
no
25d ago
19¢
81¢
140
no
26d ago
25¢
75¢
500
no
27d ago
31¢
69¢
499
no
29d ago
31¢
69¢
0.7
no
1mo ago
26¢
74¢
500
no
1mo ago
31¢
69¢
400
no
Bank
Rothschild & Co
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the IPO underwriting is announced.
event_tickerKXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.1900
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8100
no_bid_dollars0.7300
no_sub_titleRothschild & Co
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2552.29
open_time2026-06-03T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Rothschild & Co serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-ROTHX
titleWill Rothschild & Co take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?