Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
opens
Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1d ago
80¢
20¢
19
yes
2d ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-06-03T19:52:54.475687Z
custom_strike1
ask
0.29
89¢
ask68486¢
ask184¢
spread5¢mid 82¢
bid179¢
bid20078¢
bid7224¢
bid40723¢
bid2019¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
79¢
21¢
7
yes
2d ago
80¢
20¢
2.46
yes
3d ago
76¢
24¢
100
no
3d ago
75¢
25¢
85
no
3d ago
75¢
25¢
15
no
3d ago
79¢
21¢
200
no
3d ago
79¢
21¢
200
no
5d ago
81¢
19¢
111
yes
7d ago
76¢
24¢
45
no
7d ago
81¢
19¢
25
no
7d ago
81¢
19¢
30
no
7d ago
81¢
19¢
50
no
7d ago
81¢
19¢
70
no
7d ago
81¢
19¢
50
no
7d ago
82¢
18¢
6.02
yes
7d ago
82¢
18¢
19
yes
8d ago
82¢
18¢
22
no
9d ago
81¢
19¢
0.02
no
9d ago
82¢
18¢
0.44
no
9d ago
81¢
19¢
20
no
9d ago
84¢
16¢
80
no
9d ago
84¢
16¢
100
no
9d ago
84¢
16¢
20
no
9d ago
85¢
15¢
17
no
Bank
Morgan Stanley
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the IPO underwriting is announced.
event_tickerKXANTHROPICLEADLEFT-28JAN01B
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8000
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2100
no_bid_dollars0.1600
no_sub_titleMorgan Stanley
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp7352.41
open_time2026-06-03T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2700
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Morgan Stanley serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryIf two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXANTHROPICLEADLEFT-28JAN01B-MSX
titleWill Morgan Stanley serve as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's IPO?