Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
opens
Oct 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
200000
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2m ago
1¢
99¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
created_time2025-10-09T21:18:38.484043Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
ask
1,265
5¢
ask2164¢
ask32.6k3¢
ask185.3k2¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
17
yes
2m ago
1¢
99¢
423
yes
18m ago
1¢
99¢
19
no
18m ago
1¢
99¢
163
no
18m ago
1¢
99¢
525
no
39m ago
1¢
99¢
102
no
44m ago
1¢
99¢
119
no
44m ago
1¢
99¢
37
no
47m ago
1¢
99¢
117
no
49m ago
1¢
99¢
281
no
53m ago
2¢
98¢
47
yes
58m ago
2¢
98¢
50
yes
58m ago
1¢
99¢
25
no
59m ago
1¢
99¢
25
no
1h ago
2¢
98¢
140
yes
1h ago
2¢
98¢
2.99
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
2.99
no
1h ago
1¢
99¢
281
no
1h ago
2¢
98¢
25
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
25
no
1h ago
2¢
98¢
234
yes
1h ago
2¢
98¢
35
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
35
no
1h ago
2¢
98¢
9.84
yes
1h ago
1¢
99¢
9.84
no
event_ticker
KXBTC2026200-27JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike200000
last_price_dollars0.0100
latest_expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9800
no_sub_titleAbove $200000
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp5041780.72
open_time2025-10-10T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $200000 starting 2025-10-10 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typegreater
tickerKXBTC2026200-27JAN01-200000
titleWill Bitcoin be above $200000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59PM ET?