Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $149999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
opens
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
149999.99
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
21h ago
3¢
97¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-12-22T22:46:12.665381Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask8516¢
ask1015¢
ask5010¢
ask8,0008¢
ask4,6667¢
ask3,0506¢
ask25.1k5¢
ask20.7k4¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
bid1,1143¢
bid26.1k2¢
bid53.7k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
20
no
1d ago
4¢
96¢
5
yes
2d ago
4¢
96¢
4,200
yes
2d ago
3¢
97¢
277
no
2d ago
4¢
96¢
100
yes
3d ago
3¢
97¢
160
no
3d ago
3¢
97¢
90
no
4d ago
3¢
97¢
145
no
5d ago
3¢
97¢
150
no
5d ago
4¢
96¢
559
no
5d ago
4¢
96¢
130
no
5d ago
4¢
96¢
100
no
8d ago
5¢
95¢
90
yes
10d ago
5¢
95¢
20
yes
10d ago
3¢
97¢
20
no
11d ago
5¢
95¢
20
yes
12d ago
4¢
96¢
113
no
12d ago
4¢
96¢
107
no
13d ago
5¢
95¢
71
yes
13d ago
5¢
95¢
23
yes
15d ago
4¢
96¢
93
no
15d ago
5¢
95¢
1
yes
15d ago
5¢
95¢
66
yes
15d ago
5¢
95¢
5
yes
15d ago
5¢
95¢
5
yes
event_ticker
KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T04:59:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-31T04:59:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike149999.99
last_price_dollars0.0300
latest_expiration_time2027-01-31T04:59:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9700
no_bid_dollars0.9600
no_sub_titleAbove $149,999.99
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp155651.24
open_time2026-01-01T05:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0300
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $149999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typegreater
tickerKXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-149999.99
titleWill Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?