Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Dec 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
opens
Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 24 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
5h ago
2¢
98¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-12-24T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-09-22T18:25:49.693726Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
ask
294
24¢
ask1675¢
ask1334¢
ask4,3833¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
bid4682¢
bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
32
no
2d ago
2¢
98¢
509
no
2d ago
3¢
97¢
32
yes
2d ago
3¢
97¢
5.09
yes
2d ago
3¢
97¢
25
yes
2d ago
3¢
97¢
50
yes
2d ago
2¢
98¢
5.09
no
2d ago
2¢
98¢
294
no
3d ago
3¢
97¢
1,500
yes
4d ago
2¢
98¢
11
no
4d ago
3¢
97¢
8.73
yes
4d ago
3¢
97¢
2,000
yes
4d ago
3¢
97¢
2.18
yes
7d ago
3¢
97¢
200
no
7d ago
2¢
98¢
311
no
7d ago
3¢
97¢
88
yes
7d ago
4¢
96¢
210
yes
8d ago
3¢
97¢
12
no
14d ago
5¢
95¢
29
yes
14d ago
4¢
96¢
11
yes
14d ago
2¢
98¢
5.5
no
14d ago
3¢
97¢
1
no
14d ago
3¢
97¢
9.9
no
16d ago
4¢
96¢
9
yes
16d ago
5¢
95¢
39
yes
event_ticker
KXBTCPRICE-130000
exchange_index2
expected_expiration_time2027-07-08T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-23T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike130000
last_price_dollars0.0200
latest_expiration_time2027-01-23T15:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9800
no_bid_dollars0.9700
no_sub_titleBy Dec 24, 2026
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-12-24T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp7364.81
open_time2026-09-22T19:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Dec 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typegreater
subtitleBy Dec 24, 2026
tickerKXBTCPRICE-130000-26DEC24
titleWill Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Dec 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?