Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before May 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
opens
Aug 24 · 10:45 PM UTC
closes
May 15, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
May 15, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
85000
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-05-15T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-24T22:29:30.708489Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if Bitcoin crosses the specified price threshold.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask597¢
ask195¢
ask2.7894¢
ask3,00193¢
ask10392¢
ask9391¢
ask1589¢
ask8287¢
spread2¢mid 86¢
bid12485¢
bid3,10084¢
bid10075¢
bid10065¢
bid3,00040¢
bid5,00030¢
bid7,50023¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
event_ticker
KXBTCPRICE-85000
exchange_index2
expected_expiration_time2027-05-15T03:59:00Z
expiration_time2027-06-14T03:59:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike85000
last_price_dollars0.8700
latest_expiration_time2027-06-14T03:59:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.1500
no_bid_dollars0.1300
no_sub_titleBy May 14, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-09-05T20:30:00Z
open_interest_fp345.16
open_time2026-08-24T22:45:21Z
previous_price_dollars0.8400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.8400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before May 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typegreater
subtitleBy May 14, 2027
tickerKXBTCPRICE-85000-27MAY14
titleWill Bitcoin be above $85,000 by May 14, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET?