Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Democratic party has won exactly 49 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
opens
Feb 5 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
49
cap
49
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2d ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike49
close_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-02-04T22:12:52.556736Z
early_close_condition
2¢
98¢
20
yes
2d ago
2¢
98¢
692
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
100
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
9
no
2mo ago
9¢
91¢
200
no
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
98
no
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
2
no
This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.
event_tickerKXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-11-24T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike49
last_price_dollars0.0200
latest_expiration_time2027-11-03T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9880
no_bid_dollars0.9340
no_sub_title49
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp727.00
open_time2026-02-05T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0660
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0120
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the Democratic party has won exactly 49 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typebetween
tickerKXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E49
titleWill Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?