Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?

Before 2029activebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

9¢ / 10¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

−4¢

No bid / ask

90¢ / 91¢

24h volume

119

145.1k lifetime

Open interest

38.5k

top of book 16 × 7.91

Closes

in 28mo

Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3,02524¢
ask120¢
ask91719¢
ask5518¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

Settlement sources

The New York Times

opens: Jan 9, 2025 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
category: Politics
event: independent outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z

created_time2025-01-09T17:12:31.689204Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

ask

1

17¢

ask116¢

ask21010¢

ask7.9110¢

spread1¢mid 9¢

bid169¢
bid739¢
bid908¢
bid4538¢
bid4837¢
bid8796¢
bid895¢
bid205¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

event_ticker

KXCANTERRITORY-29

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z

expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.0990

latest_expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.9090

no_bid_dollars0.9010

no_sub_titleBefore 2029

notional_value_dollars1.0000

open_interest_fp38499.92

open_time2025-01-09T18:00:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.1400

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1100

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1000

price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent

price_ranges3

[0]3

end0.1000

start0.0000

step0.0010

[1]3

end0.9000

start0.1000

step0.0100

[2]3

end1.0000

start0.9000

step0.0010

result

rules_primaryIf the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryAn announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.