Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or
evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
opens
Jul 13 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
7d ago
75¢
25¢
15
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2030-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-07-13T16:50:53.015998Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask8591¢
ask23389¢
ask20988¢
ask20076¢
spread9¢mid 72¢
bid567¢
bid20066¢
bid24719¢
bid42918¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
2mo ago
68¢
32¢
0.13
no
2mo ago
75¢
25¢
0.13
yes
2mo ago
72¢
28¢
6
no
2mo ago
68¢
32¢
9.63
no
2mo ago
72¢
28¢
5
yes
event_ticker
KXCHINAEUV-30
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7500
latest_expiration_time2030-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.3300
no_bid_dollars0.2400
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2030
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp17.64
open_time2026-07-13T17:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.7600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.6600
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or
evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXCHINAEUV-30-30JAN01
titleWill China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?