Yes bid / ask
68¢ / 77¢
spread 9¢
Open interest
0
top of book 200 × 200
Closes
in 12mo
Sep 30, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Not enough history to chart.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
- ask10099¢
- ask79497¢
- ask17894¢
- ask20077¢
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opens
- Sep 17 · 2:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Sep 30, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Science and Technology
- event
- independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Other markets in When will Anthropic release Claude 6?
Claude 6+ (any family)
Event pageRaw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-09-30T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-09-17T14:10:56.570798Z
custom_strike1
- bid20068¢
- bid20016¢
- bid50515¢
- bid1001¢
Before Mar 31, 2027
KXCLAUDE-CLAUDE6-27MAR31
date
before September 30, 2027
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXCLAUDE-CLAUDE6
expected_expiration_time2027-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-10-07T14:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2027-10-07T14:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Sep 30, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
open_time2026-09-17T14:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryRelease must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXCLAUDE-CLAUDE6-27SEP30
titleWill Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Sep 30, 2027?
updated_time2026-09-17T14:30:00.158587Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Sep 30, 2027