Yes bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
spread 1¢
24h volume
211
197.6k lifetime
Open interest
51.9k
top of book 2,070 × 3,924
Closes
in 2mo
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Not enough history to chart.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
- ask22636¢
- ask335¢
- ask77019¢
- ask5009¢
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opens
- Apr 16 · 2:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Science and Technology
- event
- independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 2h ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 117 |
Other markets in When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Mythos
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-12-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-04-15T23:38:20.686906Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
- bid2,0703¢
- bid8,0212¢
- bid2001¢
Before Sep 1, 2026
KXCLAUDE-MYTH-26SEP01
event_ticker
KXCLAUDE-MYTH
expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2026-12-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2026-12-08T15:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Dec 1, 2026
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-09-01T13:00:00Z
open_time2026-04-16T02:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0300
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryRelease must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXCLAUDE-MYTH-26DEC01
titleWill Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?
updated_time2026-09-02T00:08:36.880851Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Dec 1, 2026