Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
opens
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.4
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2h ago
32¢
68¢
23
no
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-11-10T13:25:00Z
created_time2026-02-19T23:50:22.780938Z
event_tickerKXCPI-26OCT
exchange_index
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Order book unavailable.
2h ago
32¢
68¢
1
no
2h ago
34¢
66¢
50
no
2h ago
34¢
66¢
50
no
13h ago
35¢
65¢
50
yes
1d ago
35¢
65¢
23
yes
1d ago
35¢
65¢
1
yes
2d ago
31¢
69¢
2
no
2d ago
31¢
69¢
2
no
2d ago
31¢
69¢
100
no
2d ago
31¢
69¢
27
no
2d ago
30¢
70¢
125
no
3d ago
27¢
73¢
1
no
3d ago
48¢
52¢
204
no
3d ago
48¢
52¢
50
no
3d ago
48¢
52¢
8
no
3d ago
49¢
51¢
100
no
3d ago
49¢
51¢
1
no
3d ago
51¢
49¢
3
yes
3d ago
50¢
50¢
0.19
yes
3d ago
53¢
47¢
50
no
4d ago
54¢
46¢
50
no
4d ago
55¢
45¢
200
no
4d ago
55¢
45¢
50
no
4d ago
55¢
45¢
16
no
0
expected_expiration_time2026-11-10T14:56:00Z
expiration_time2027-02-09T14:56:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike0.4
last_price_dollars0.3200
latest_expiration_time2027-02-09T14:56:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.6900
no_bid_dollars0.6800
no_sub_titleAbove 0.4%
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp998.76
open_time2026-02-20T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.3500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.3500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.3400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
settlement_timer_seconds300
statusactive
strike_typegreater
subtitle0.4%
tickerKXCPI-26OCT-T0.4
titleWill CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026?