Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Josh Shapiro is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added. A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
Before Nov 1, 2028
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Gavin NewsomKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-GNEW | 2¢ | 23¢ | 2¢ | −17¢ | 21¢ | 20 | 6,465 | 7,858 | in 26mo | active |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 202 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 500 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 125 | yes |
| 0¢ |
| 2¢ |
| 6¢ |
| – |
| 2¢ |
| 0 |
| 1,794 |
| 1,794 |
| in 26mo |
| active |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Pete ButtigiegKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-PBUT | 7¢ | 23¢ | 9¢ | – | 16¢ | 0 | 7,214 | 7,235 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Wes Moore be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Wes MooreKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-WMOO | 1¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 2,550 | 2,550 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Kamala Harris be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Kamala HarrisKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-KHAR | 7¢ | 8¢ | 8¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 6,166 | 6,290 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Gretchen WhitmerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-GWHI | 0¢ | 2¢ | 2¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 500 | 500 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Andy Beshear be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Andy BeshearKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-ABES | 7¢ | 56¢ | 7¢ | +1¢ | 49¢ | 10 | 5,630 | 5,630 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Jon Ossoff be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Jon OssoffKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JOSS | 1¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 1,233 | 1,233 | in 26mo | active |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?J.B. PritzkerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JPRI | 1¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 3,040 | 3,040 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Rahm EmanuelKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-REMA | 3¢ | 54¢ | 25¢ | – | 51¢ | 0 | 2,257 | 2,648 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Mark Kelly be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Mark KellyKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-MKEL | 1¢ | 2¢ | 2¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 35 | 35 | in 26mo | active |
| Will James Talarico be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?James TalaricoKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JTAL | 0¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 40 | 40 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Ro Khanna be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Ro KhannaKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-RKHA | 18¢ | 58¢ | 91¢ | +75¢ | 40¢ | 15 | 2,190 | 2,549 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Jasmine CrockettKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JCRO | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Graham Platner be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Graham PlatnerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-GPLA | 0¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 1 | 1 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Jon Stewart be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Jon StewartKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JSTE | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Michelle Obama be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Michelle ObamaKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-MOBA | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Beto O'Rourke be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Beto O'RourkeKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-BORO | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Mitch Landrieu be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Mitch LandrieuKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-MLAN | 0¢ | 2¢ | 4¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 62 | 62 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Stephen A. Smith be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Stephen A. SmithKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-SSMI | 0¢ | 2¢ | 4¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 1 | 1 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Cory Booker be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Cory BookerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-CBOO | 1¢ | 2¢ | 6¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 1.56 | 1.56 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Mark Cuban be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Mark CubanKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-MCUB | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Chris Murphy be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Chris MurphyKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-CMUR | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Ruben Gallego be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Ruben GallegoKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-RGAL | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Elissa Slotkin be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Elissa SlotkinKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-ESLO | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Raphael Warnock be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Raphael WarnockKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-RWAR | 1¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 58 | 76 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Andrew Yang be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Andrew YangKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-AYAN | 0¢ | 2¢ | 4¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 70 | 70 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Roy Cooper be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Roy CooperKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-RCOO | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Gina Raimondo be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Gina RaimondoKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-GRAI | 0¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 31 | 63 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Jared Polis be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Jared PolisKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-JPOL | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Amy KlobucharKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-AKLO | 0¢ | 2¢ | 5¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 46 | 46 | in 26mo | active |
| Will Elizabeth Warren be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?Elizabeth WarrenKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-EWAR | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 0 | 0 | in 26mo | active |