Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Michelle Obama is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
opens
May 21 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
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market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-11-01T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-05-21T16:10:43.236658Z
custom_strike1
spread
–
mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Person
Michelle Obama
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a qualifying declaration of candidacy occurs.
event_tickerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-11-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-11-08T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0000
latest_expiration_time2028-11-08T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9800
no_sub_titleMichelle Obama
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-11-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp0.00
open_time2026-05-21T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Michelle Obama is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis list is fixed and no new strikes will be added.
A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office. The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance. Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify. The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXDECLAREPRESFIRSTD-28NOV01-MOBA
titleWill Michelle Obama be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 1, 2028?