Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
opens
Nov 13, 2024 · 3:00 AM UTC
closes
May 17, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Dec 26, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
cap
7.25
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
6d ago
44¢
56¢
11
yes
20d ago
42¢
58¢
1
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike7.25
close_time2029-05-17T15:00:00Z
created_time2024-11-13T01:43:51.285183Z
early_close_condition
ask
208
89¢
ask1,06375¢
ask66074¢
ask8563¢
ask50049¢
ask10043¢
spread2¢mid 42¢
bid50041¢
bid113¢
bid3935¢
bid2,3675¢
bid15¢
bid6663¢
bid611¢
bid9,8881¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
no
20d ago
41¢
59¢
141
no
2mo ago
43¢
57¢
4.54
no
2mo ago
44¢
56¢
4.54
yes
2mo ago
43¢
57¢
4.1
no
2mo ago
43¢
57¢
100
no
2mo ago
43¢
57¢
0.96
no
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXDEMOCRACYUS-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-12-26T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-05-17T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.4400
latest_expiration_time2029-05-17T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5900
no_bid_dollars0.5700
no_sub_titleBelow 7.25
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp1965.56
open_time2024-11-13T03:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.4400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.4300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1300
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondary
settlement_timer_seconds300
statusactive
strike_typeless
tickerKXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.25
titleWill the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028