Will Ethereum reach above $4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?

Above $4,500.00activebinarygreater

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

13¢ / 14¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

–

No bid / ask

86¢ / 87¢

24h volume

0

268.7k lifetime

Open interest

63.1k

top of book 100 × 130

Closes

in 3mo

Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

opens: Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor: 4500

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z

created_time2025-12-22T23:47:45.810069Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the specified price level is reached.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask2,00048¢
ask15028¢
ask2,10027¢
ask10026¢
ask3,00018¢
ask1,01016¢
ask11015¢
ask13014¢

spread1¢mid 14¢

bid10013¢
bid20212¢
bid3,51310¢
bid2009¢
bid3008¢
bid1307¢
bid3016¢
bid365¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

event_ticker

KXETHMAXY-27JAN01

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2027-01-01T05:00:00Z

expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z

expiration_value

floor_strike4500

last_price_dollars0.1100

latest_expiration_time2027-01-31T05:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.8700

no_bid_dollars0.8600

no_sub_titleAbove $4,500.00

notional_value_dollars1.0000

open_interest_fp63056.71

open_time2026-01-01T05:00:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.1100

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1400

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1300

price_level_structurelinear_cent

price_ranges1

[0]3

end1.0000

start0.0000

step0.0100

result

rules_primaryIf the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.