Will it be reported by the European Commission that the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public before Jan 1, 2028?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
Applications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply.
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
An announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal
Testing, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials
Applications collected by a commercial or third-party website
The later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask20082¢
spread8¢mid 78¢
bid574¢
bid20073¢
bid20014¢
bid77813¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
5d ago
82¢
18¢
12
yes
event_ticker
KXETIASAPPLY-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8200
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2600
no_bid_dollars0.1800
no_sub_titleYes
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-10-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp12.04
open_time2026-08-20T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryOnly reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
Applications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply.
The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
An announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal
Testing, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials
Applications collected by a commercial or third-party website
The later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXETIASAPPLY-28
titleWill it be reported by the European Commission that the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public before Jan 1, 2028?