Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?

Above 3.50%activebinarygreater

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

97¢ / 98¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

98¢

–

No bid / ask

2¢ / 3¢

24h volume

34.0k lifetime

Open interest

18.1k

top of book 17 × 9,952

Closes

in 3mo

Dec 9 · 6:55 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

opens: Aug 6, 2025 · 2:30 PM UTC
closes: Dec 9 · 6:55 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Dec 9 · 7:05 PM UTC
floor: 3.5

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
3d ago	98¢	2¢	18	yes
4d ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2026-12-09T18:55:00Z

created_time2025-08-06T14:29:24.100133Z

event_tickerKXFED-26DEC

exchange_index