Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Mar 17, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

opens

Oct 13, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC

closes

Mar 17, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC · may close early

expires

Mar 17, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC

floor

3.5