Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

Above 4.25%activebinarygreater

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

40¢ / 45¢

spread 5¢

Last trade

45¢

–

No bid / ask

55¢ / 60¢

24h volume

3,108 lifetime

Open interest

1,410

top of book 500 × 11

Closes

in 6mo

Mar 17, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask98584¢
ask48183¢
ask4982¢
ask3779¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.25% following the Federal Reserve's Mar 17, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Mar 17, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

opens: Oct 13, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Mar 17, 2027 · 5:55 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Mar 17, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
floor: 4.25

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
4d ago	44¢	56¢	1.28	yes
4d ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-03-17T17:55:00Z

created_time2025-10-06T19:21:39.208257Z

event_tickerKXFED-27MAR

exchange_index