Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Cut 25bpsactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

1¢ / 2¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

−1¢

No bid / ask

98¢ / 99¢

24h volume

1,612

85.8k lifetime

Open interest

66.6k

top of book 6,974 × 23.0k

Closes

in 3mo

Dec 9 · 6:59 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Settlement sources

Federal Reserve

opens: Sep 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 9 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Dec 9 · 7:05 PM UTC
category: Economics
event: mutually exclusive outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
24m ago

Other markets in Fed decision in Dec 2026?

On Dec 9, 2026

Event page

Market	Yes bid	Yes ask	Last	Δ	Spread	Vol 24h	OI	Vol total	Closes	Status
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?Cut >25bpsKXFEDDECISION-26DEC-C26	0¢	1¢	1¢	–	1¢	7,768	46.7k	54.9k	in 3mo	active
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2026-12-09T18:59:00Z

created_time2025-09-26T15:31:07.682989Z

custom_strike1