Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?

Hike >25bpsactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

2¢ / 3¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

+1¢

No bid / ask

97¢ / 98¢

24h volume

19.4k

97.6k lifetime

Open interest

92.2k

top of book 2,259 × 4,403

Closes

in 3mo

Dec 9 · 6:59 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask50012¢
ask30010¢
ask9509¢
ask5248¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

opens: Sep 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 9 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Dec 9 · 7:05 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
5h ago	3¢	97¢	100	yes
5h ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2026-12-09T18:59:00Z

created_time2025-09-26T15:31:07.682989Z

custom_strike1