Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
opens
Sep 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 28 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Oct 28 · 6:05 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
32m ago
56¢
44¢
43
yes
40m ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-10-28T17:59:00Z
created_time2025-09-26T15:31:03.908459Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Order book unavailable.
56¢
44¢
944
yes
40m ago
56¢
44¢
2,141
yes
49m ago
55¢
45¢
572
no
1h ago
56¢
44¢
5.19
yes
1h ago
56¢
44¢
0.34
yes
2h ago
56¢
44¢
21
yes
2h ago
56¢
44¢
173
yes
2h ago
56¢
44¢
130
yes
3h ago
55¢
45¢
214
no
3h ago
56¢
44¢
8.66
yes
3h ago
56¢
44¢
10
yes
3h ago
56¢
44¢
10
yes
4h ago
55¢
45¢
1,000
no
4h ago
55¢
45¢
503
no
4h ago
55¢
45¢
116
no
4h ago
55¢
45¢
45
no
4h ago
55¢
45¢
1,021
no
4h ago
56¢
44¢
0.01
yes
4h ago
56¢
44¢
1.7
yes
4h ago
56¢
44¢
3.46
yes
4h ago
55¢
45¢
9.66
no
4h ago
56¢
44¢
87
yes
5h ago
55¢
45¢
16
no
5h ago
56¢
44¢
8.66
yes
Hike
25
event_tickerKXFEDDECISION-26OCT
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2026-10-28T18:05:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-27T18:01:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.5600
latest_expiration_time2027-01-27T18:01:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.4500
no_bid_dollars0.4400
no_sub_titleHike 25bps
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp301015.08
open_time2025-09-29T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.5400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
settlement_timer_seconds297
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitleHike 25bps
tickerKXFEDDECISION-26OCT-H25
titleWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?