Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?

Cut >25bpsactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

0¢ / 2¢

spread 2¢

Last trade

1¢

–

No bid / ask

98¢ / 100¢

24h volume

31.9k lifetime

Open interest

983

top of book 0 × 104

Closes

in 10mo

Jul 28, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Settlement sources

Federal Reserve

opens: Oct 6, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Jul 28, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jul 28, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
category: Economics
event: mutually exclusive outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
4d ago

Other markets in Fed decision in Jul 2027?

On Jul 28, 2027

Event page

Market	Yes bid	Yes ask	Last	Δ	Spread	Vol 24h	OI	Vol total	Closes	Status
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?Cut 25bpsKXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C25	7¢	8¢	4¢	–	1¢	0	2,754	10.6k	in 10mo	active
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-07-28T17:59:00Z

created_time2025-10-02T21:52:15.812881Z

custom_strike1