Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their March 2027 meeting?

Hike 25bpsactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

25¢ / 31¢

spread 6¢

Last trade

27¢

–

No bid / ask

69¢ / 75¢

24h volume

5,333 lifetime

Open interest

4,374

top of book 4,993 × 20

Closes

in 6mo

Mar 17, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask76848¢
ask15847¢
ask5046¢
ask11841¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

opens: Oct 6, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Mar 17, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Mar 17, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
2d ago	27¢	73¢	29	no
2d ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-03-17T17:59:00Z

created_time2025-10-02T21:51:16.836598Z

custom_strike1