Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 4.00%?

Above 4.00%activebinarygreater

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

80¢ / 81¢

spread 1¢

Last trade

79¢

−1¢

No bid / ask

19¢ / 20¢

24h volume

158

10.9k lifetime

Open interest

3,491

top of book 20 × 115

Closes

in 16mo

Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,52289¢
ask19488¢
ask13987¢
ask1,01386¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

opens: Jul 29 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 8, 2028 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor: 4

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
3h ago	80¢	20¢	18	no
3h ago	79¢

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z

created_time2026-07-29T16:59:29.448121Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.