Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is between 2.6% to 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
opens
Jun 8 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 28, 2028 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Feb 28, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
2.6
cap
3
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
21d ago
13¢
87¢
133
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike3
close_time2028-02-28T13:29:00Z
created_time2026-06-08T18:34:55.054012Z
event_ticker
spread
40¢
mid 33¢
bid513¢
bid10012¢
bid12011¢
bid426¢
bid605¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
yes
26d ago
13¢
87¢
61
yes
1mo ago
12¢
88¢
63
yes
1mo ago
12¢
88¢
57
yes
1mo ago
13¢
87¢
30
yes
1mo ago
13¢
87¢
40
yes
1mo ago
12¢
88¢
25
yes
1mo ago
11¢
89¢
24
yes
1mo ago
9¢
91¢
14
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
1
yes
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
13
no
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
7
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
15
yes
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
15
yes
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
2
no
2mo ago
10¢
90¢
6
no
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
126
yes
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
10
yes
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
80
yes
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
10
no
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
90
no
2mo ago
12¢
88¢
10
no
2mo ago
13¢
87¢
29
yes
KXGDPYEAR-27
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-02-28T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-02-28T13:29:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike2.6
last_price_dollars0.1300
latest_expiration_time2028-02-28T13:29:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8700
no_bid_dollars0.4700
no_sub_title2.6% to 3.0%
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-02-28T13:29:00Z
open_interest_fp1686.72
open_time2026-06-08T20:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1300
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is between 2.6% to 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.