Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2031 is between 4.6% to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2031. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2031 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2031 GDP in early 2032. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
opens
Jul 27 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 29, 2032 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Feb 29, 2032 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
4.6
cap
5
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
442
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
cap_strike5
close_time2032-02-29T13:29:00Z
created_time2026-07-27T22:56:28.682446Z
event_ticker
ask2007¢
ask4504¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
0.1
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
0.1
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
0.1
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
0.1
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
15
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
0.01
yes
2mo ago
8¢
92¢
100
yes
2mo ago
13¢
87¢
2
no
2mo ago
13¢
87¢
2
no
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
100
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
100
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
0.01
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
500
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
4
yes
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
15
yes
KXGDPYEAR-31
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2032-02-29T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2032-02-29T13:29:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike4.6
last_price_dollars0.0800
latest_expiration_time2032-02-29T13:29:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9900
no_bid_dollars0.9600
no_sub_title4.6% to 5.0%
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2032-02-29T13:29:00Z
open_interest_fp702.01
open_time2026-07-27T23:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0800
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the United States real GDP growth in 2031 is between 4.6% to 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2031. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2031 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2031 GDP in early 2032. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.