Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2031 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2031. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2031 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2031 GDP in early 2032. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size |
|---|
2031
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth in 2031?0.0% or BelowKXGDPYEAR-31-T0.1 | 9¢ | 13¢ | 10¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 444 | 914 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?0.1% to 0.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B0.3 |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
| Taker |
|---|
| 16d ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 250 | yes |
| 16d ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 70 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 267 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 15 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 10 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 100 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 25 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 125 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 267 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 25 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.1 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.1 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.1 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.1 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 63 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.01 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 467 | no |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 100 | no |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 25 | no |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 1.99 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 0.01 | yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 29 | no |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 10 | no |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 29 | no |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 48 | no |
| 5¢ |
| 9¢ |
| 6¢ |
| – |
| 4¢ |
| 0 |
| 444 |
| 842 |
| in 66mo |
| active |
| GDP growth in 2031?0.6% to 1.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B0.8 | 5¢ | 10¢ | 6¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 573 | 1,495 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?1.1% to 1.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B1.3 | 6¢ | 10¢ | 10¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 442 | 834 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?1.6% to 2.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B1.8 | 7¢ | 11¢ | 12¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 463 | 863 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?2.1% to 2.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B2.3 | 14¢ | 20¢ | 15¢ | – | 6¢ | 0 | 2,036 | 10.4k | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?2.6% to 3.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B2.8 | 6¢ | 12¢ | 8¢ | – | 6¢ | 0 | 444 | 450 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?3.1% to 3.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B3.3 | 3¢ | 7¢ | 6¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 442 | 823 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?3.6% to 4.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B3.8 | 5¢ | 9¢ | 5¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 444 | 488 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?4.1% to 4.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B4.3 | 5¢ | 8¢ | 6¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 442 | 578 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?4.6% to 5.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B4.8 | 1¢ | 4¢ | 8¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 702 | 1,280 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?5.1% to 5.5%KXGDPYEAR-31-B5.3 | 3¢ | 6¢ | 4¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 442 | 588 | in 66mo | active |
| GDP growth in 2031?5.6% to 6.0%KXGDPYEAR-31-B5.8 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 5¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 548 | 1,001 | in 66mo | active |