GDP growth in 2033?

4.1% to 4.5%activebinarybetween

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

3¢ / 5¢

spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

–

No bid / ask

95¢ / 97¢

24h volume

8,666 lifetime

Open interest

1,159

top of book 233 × 226

Closes

in 91mo

Feb 28, 2034 · 1:29 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3594¢
ask4693¢
ask31851¢
ask35850¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 4.1% to 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

opens: Jul 28 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes: Feb 28, 2034 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Feb 28, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 4.1
cap: 4.5

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
2mo ago	5¢	95¢	16	yes

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

cap_strike4.5

close_time2034-02-28T13:29:00Z

created_time2026-07-27T23:23:55.8248Z

event_ticker