Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?

AfDactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

84¢ / 87¢

spread 3¢

Last trade

84¢

–

No bid / ask

13¢ / 16¢

24h volume

12.1k lifetime

Open interest

7,896

top of book 10 × 506

Closes

in 43mo

Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask70095¢
ask19694¢
ask14393¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

opens: Jul 28 · 4:23 PM UTC
closes: Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
2d ago	84¢	16¢	6	no

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market43

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z

created_time2026-07-28T16:03:02.248959Z

custom_strike1