Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
opens
Jul 28 · 4:23 PM UTC
closes
Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
27d ago
3¢
97¢
25
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-28T16:03:02.248959Z
custom_strike1
ask
500
15¢
ask5005¢
ask2433¢
spread–mid –
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
yes
27d ago
3¢
97¢
475
yes
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
715
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
500
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
25
no
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
765
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
15
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
66
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
0.01
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
1,500
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
375
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
10
yes
2mo ago
2¢
98¢
40
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
25
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
55
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
40
no
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
500
no
2mo ago
5¢
95¢
500
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
66
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
25
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
1,680
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
100
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
1,500
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
500
no
Option
Greens
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
event_tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0300
latest_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9700
no_sub_titleGreens
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-03-25T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2510.01
open_time2026-07-28T16:23:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0300
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle:: Alliance 90/The Greens
tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25-GRE
titleWill Greens win the next election to the German Bundestag?