Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control. The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order.
A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify. Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system. The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification.
An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).
Will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch before Jul 1, 2027?
Before Jul 1, 2027
KXGOVAIKILLSWITCH-26SEP-27JUL01
13¢
21¢
14¢
–
8¢
0
34
67
in 9mo
active
Date
Jan 1, 2028
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXGOVAIKILLSWITCH-26SEP
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0000
latest_expiration_time2028-01-07T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8100
no_bid_dollars0.7300
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T05:00:00Z
open_interest_fp0.00
open_time2026-09-17T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control. The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order.
A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify. Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system. The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification.
An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXGOVAIKILLSWITCH-26SEP-28JAN01
titleWill the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch before Jan 1, 2028?