Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 33¢ | 67¢ |
Before 2029
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?At least $1 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | 15¢ | – | 9¢ | 0 | 1,847 | 2,553 | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2028? |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
| 0.28 |
| yes |
| 3d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 0.2 | no |
| 5d ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 0.2 | yes |
| 13d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 13d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 13d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 13d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 26 | yes |
| 15d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 3 | yes |
| 15d ago | 97¢ | 3¢ | 0.65 | yes |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | yes |
| 20d ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 1 | no |
| 20d ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 4 | yes |
| 20d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | yes |
| 21d ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 1 | no |
| 21d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | yes |
| 21d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | yes |
| 21d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | yes |
| 21d ago | 9¢ | 91¢ | 1 | yes |
| 21d ago | 10¢ | 90¢ | 4 | yes |
| 21d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 1 | no |
| 22d ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 3 | yes |
| 6¢ |
| 14¢ |
| 10¢ |
| – |
| 8¢ |
| 0 |
| 527 |
| 736 |
| in 31mo |
| active |
| Will government spending decrease by 100 before 2028?At least 100 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-100 | 5¢ | 14¢ | 9¢ | – | 9¢ | 0 | 292 | 312 | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $200 billion before 2028?At least 200 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-200 | 7¢ | 13¢ | 1¢ | – | 6¢ | 0 | 516 | 677 | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?At least 250 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-250 | 3¢ | 8¢ | 1¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 22.5k | 35.6k | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $500 billion before 2028?At least 500 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-500 | 6¢ | 7¢ | 7¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 2,482 | 12.1k | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?At least 750 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-750 | 1¢ | 6¢ | 1¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 1,634 | 9,944 | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $1000 billion before 2028?At least 1 trillionKXGOVTCUTS-28-1000 | 1¢ | 7¢ | 5¢ | – | 6¢ | 0 | 3,543 | 16.5k | in 31mo | active |
| Will government spending decrease by $2000 billion before 2028?At least 2 trillionKXGOVTCUTS-28-2000 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 4¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 1,328 | 10.4k | in 31mo | active |