Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?

Before 2029activebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

19¢ / 27¢

spread 8¢

Last trade

23¢

–

No bid / ask

73¢ / 81¢

24h volume

123.4k lifetime

Open interest

15.9k

top of book 10 × 205

Closes

in 28mo

Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If the number of allowable H-1B visas as of Issuance (as of certification, the cap is 65,000 visas and an additional 20,000 for advanced degrees) has been increased after Issuance and before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Increasing the current cap (or eliminating it entirely) or exemption for advanced degrees, or creating new exemptions, would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Payout Criterion also encompasses creating a third kind of H-1B visa other than the normal visa and the exemption for advanced degrees.

opens: Dec 19, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
2h ago	23¢	77¢	5	no
2h ago

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z

created_time2024-12-18T21:12:57.510408Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.