Will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL before Jul 1, 2027?

Before Jul 1, 2027activebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

37¢ / 45¢

spread 8¢

Last trade

0¢

–

No bid / ask

55¢ / 63¢

24h volume

0

0 lifetime

Open interest

0

top of book 5 × 200

Closes

in 9mo

Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask2,08897¢
ask20045¢

spread8¢mid 41¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If South Bow officially announces a decision to build Keystone XL before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only a decision to proceed with construction of South Bow's Prairie Connector project resolves this market. The original Gulf Coast route of Keystone XL is out of scope, and a decision to cancel, shelve or further defer the project does not resolve any market to Yes. Permits, shipper commitments, open-season results and cost estimates do not on their own resolve any market. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, securities filings, earnings calls, investor presentations, verified accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. Rumours, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information and third-party announcements without company confirmation do not qualify.

opens: Aug 20 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Jul 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market42

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2027-07-01T03:59:00Z

created_time2026-08-20T17:39:48.166023Z

custom_strike1

bid

5

37¢

bid20036¢

bid6434¢

bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

date

Jul 1, 2027

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the company makes the specified announcement.

event_tickerKXKEYSTONEFID-28

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2028-07-01T14:00:00Z

expiration_time2027-07-08T14:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.0000

latest_expiration_time2027-07-08T14:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.6300

no_bid_dollars0.5500

no_sub_titleBefore Jul 1, 2027

notional_value_dollars1.0000

occurrence_datetime2027-07-01T14:00:00Z

open_interest_fp0.00

open_time2026-08-20T18:00:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.0000

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9900

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0100

price_level_structurelinear_cent

price_ranges1

[0]3

end1.0000

start0.0000

step0.0100

result

rules_primaryIf South Bow officially announces a decision to build Keystone XL before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryOnly a decision to proceed with construction of South Bow's Prairie Connector project resolves this market. The original Gulf Coast route of Keystone XL is out of scope, and a decision to cancel, shelve or further defer the project does not resolve any market to Yes. Permits, shipper commitments, open-season results and cost estimates do not on their own resolve any market. The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, securities filings, earnings calls, investor presentations, verified accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company. Rumours, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information and third-party announcements without company confirmation do not qualify.