Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it in Perkins Coie LLP v. U.S. Department of Justice, No. 25-5241 (D.C. Cir.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying ruling must be a written order, opinion, judgment or decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit disposing of appeal No. 25-5241, the government's appeal of the Perkins Coie judgment. The appeals consolidated with it, Nos. 25-5265 (Jenner & Block), 25-5277 (WilmerHale) and 25-5310 (Susman Godfrey), count only where the same disposition also disposes of No. 25-5241.
"In its entirety" means the court affirms the judgment and reverses, vacates or remands no part of it. These resolve to NO:
A disposition affirming in part and reversing, vacating or remanding in part, however small the part
Reversal or vacatur of the whole judgment
Dismissal of the appeal, including voluntary dismissal by the government and disposal on mootness grounds
A qualifying ruling settles the market when issued; a later grant of rehearing, rehearing en banc or Supreme Court review does NOT unwind it. A change in the appellee's name or corporate form, including its June 29, 2026 combination into Ashurst Perkins Coie, does NOT affect settlement.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
94¢
ask4493¢
ask20075¢
ask1074¢
spread8¢mid 70¢
bid566¢
bid20065¢
bid387¢
bid512¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
event
independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
19d ago
66¢
34¢
200
no
27d ago
67¢
33¢
5
no
29d ago
67¢
33¢
5
no
event_ticker
KXLAWFIRMEO-PERKINS28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.6600
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.3400
no_bid_dollars0.2600
no_sub_titleBefore 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-03-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp210.00
open_time2026-08-20T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.6600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.7400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.6500
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it in Perkins Coie LLP v. U.S. Department of Justice, No. 25-5241 (D.C. Cir.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA qualifying ruling must be a written order, opinion, judgment or decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit disposing of appeal No. 25-5241, the government's appeal of the Perkins Coie judgment. The appeals consolidated with it, Nos. 25-5265 (Jenner & Block), 25-5277 (WilmerHale) and 25-5310 (Susman Godfrey), count only where the same disposition also disposes of No. 25-5241.
"In its entirety" means the court affirms the judgment and reverses, vacates or remands no part of it. These resolve to NO:
A disposition affirming in part and reversing, vacating or remanding in part, however small the part
Reversal or vacatur of the whole judgment
Dismissal of the appeal, including voluntary dismissal by the government and disposal on mootness grounds
A qualifying ruling settles the market when issued; a later grant of rehearing, rehearing en banc or Supreme Court review does NOT unwind it. A change in the appellee's name or corporate form, including its June 29, 2026 combination into Ashurst Perkins Coie, does NOT affect settlement.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXLAWFIRMEO-PERKINS28
titleWill the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it?