Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Chinaactivebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

28¢ / 31¢

spread 3¢

Last trade

28¢

−3¢

No bid / ask

69¢ / 72¢

24h volume

48.9k lifetime

Open interest

19.7k

top of book 15 × 713

Closes

in 52mo

Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1.1679¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.

Settlement sources

The New York Times

opens: Nov 28, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
category: Science and Technology
event: independent outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
20h ago	28¢	72¢

Other markets in Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Before 2031

Event page

Market	Yes bid	Yes ask	Last	Δ	Spread	Vol 24h	OI	Vol total	Closes	Status
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?United StatesKXMOONMAN-31-USA	53¢	56¢	56¢	+4¢	3¢	261	33.3k	82.9k	in 52mo	active
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z

created_time2024-11-27T23:38:20.96904Z

early_close_conditionThe market will close if a country launches a manned Moon mission.