Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Chinaactivebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

28¢ / 31¢

spread 3¢

Last trade

31¢

–

No bid / ask

69¢ / 72¢

24h volume

4.07

48.9k lifetime

Open interest

19.7k

top of book 15 × 710

Closes

in 52mo

Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4.4784¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.

opens: Nov 28, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
3h ago	31¢	69¢	3.07	yes
23h ago	28¢	72¢

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z

created_time2024-11-27T23:38:20.96904Z

early_close_conditionThe market will close if a country launches a manned Moon mission.