Yes bid / ask
5¢ / 7¢
spread 2¢
24h volume
0
3,715 lifetime
Open interest
2,508
top of book 250 × 105
Closes
in 28mo
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Driscoll, then the market resolves to Yes.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Other markets in Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Next Secretary of Defense
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-04-24T14:59:55.967701Z
custom_strike1
ask
429
44¢
ask4843¢ask3742¢ask7236¢ask1725¢ask25012¢ask1057¢- opens
- Apr 24 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Politics
- event
- mutually exclusive outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 3d ago | 6¢ | 94¢ | 250 | no |
| 8d ago | 6¢ | 94¢ | 17 | no |
| 9d ago | 7¢ | 93¢ | 5 | no |
| 9d ago | 6¢ | 94¢ | 7.49 | no |
| 9d ago | 7¢ | 93¢ | 5 | no |
| 11d ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 58 | yes |
| 11d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 13 | yes |
| 15d ago | 7¢ | 93¢ | 13 | no |
| 17d ago | 10¢ | 90¢ | 5 | yes |
| 17d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 8.21 | yes |
| 20d ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 5 | no |
| 20d ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 250 | no |
| 22d ago | 10¢ | 90¢ | 5 | yes |
| 22d ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 12 | yes |
| 28d ago | 2¢ | 98¢ | 2.35 | no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 93 | no |
| 1mo ago | 5¢ | 95¢ | 5 | no |
| 1mo ago | 7¢ | 93¢ | 3 | no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 24 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 92¢ | 1 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 11¢ | 89¢ | 67 | yes |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 47 | no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 96¢ | 214 | no |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 90¢ | 2.35 | yes |
Mike Waltz
KXNEXTDEF-29-MWAL
Person
Dan Driscoll
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
expected_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
open_time2026-04-24T16:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Driscoll, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryActing and Interim positions don't count.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
titleWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
updated_time2026-04-24T16:00:01.387492Z
yes_sub_titleDan Driscoll