Yes bid / ask
51¢ / 53¢
spread 2¢
24h volume
17
16.7k lifetime
Open interest
10.1k
top of book 255 × 0.01
Closes
in 28mo
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
- ask1,30980¢
- ask55375¢
- ask1,16874¢
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Other markets in Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Next Secretary of Defense
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-04-01T13:10:35.688394Z
custom_strike1
ask
29
73¢
ask26958¢ask3557¢ask2056¢ask0.0153¢- bid25551¢
- bid447¢
- bid9827¢
- bid10026¢
- bid60624¢
- bid14017¢
- bid20016¢
- bid64815¢
- opens
- Apr 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Politics
- event
- mutually exclusive outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 3h ago | 57¢ | 43¢ | 17 | yes |
| 3d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 1.67 | yes |
| 3d ago | 56¢ | 44¢ | 17 | no |
| 3d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 42 | yes |
| 3d ago | 55¢ | 45¢ | 24 | no |
| 3d ago | 52¢ | 48¢ | 5.02 | no |
| 4d ago | 52¢ | 48¢ | 0.86 | no |
| 4d ago | 53¢ | 47¢ | 5 | no |
| 4d ago | 53¢ | 47¢ | 5.02 | no |
| 4d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 5.88 | yes |
| 4d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 5 | yes |
| 4d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 5.02 | yes |
| 4d ago | 59¢ | 41¢ | 6.59 | yes |
| 4d ago | 52¢ | 48¢ | 8.23 | no |
| 5d ago | 59¢ | 41¢ | 8.23 | yes |
| 6d ago | 52¢ | 48¢ | 1.64 | no |
| 11d ago | 59¢ | 41¢ | 1.64 | yes |
| 11d ago | 58¢ | 42¢ | 33 | yes |
| 12d ago | 50¢ | 50¢ | 19 | no |
| 12d ago | 51¢ | 49¢ | 17 | no |
| 12d ago | 51¢ | 49¢ | 1.79 | no |
| 12d ago | 56¢ | 44¢ | 1 | yes |
| 12d ago | 56¢ | 44¢ | 5.92 | yes |
| 13d ago | 55¢ | 45¢ | 53 | yes |
| 13d ago | 54¢ | 46¢ | 1.79 | yes |
Mike Waltz
KXNEXTDEF-29-MWAL
Person
No other person
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
expected_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
no_sub_titleNo other person
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_time2025-04-01T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5800
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.4700
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
rules_primaryIf the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryActing and Interim positions don't count.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
titleWho will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
updated_time2026-04-24T15:28:25.726148Z
yes_sub_titleNo other person