Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Alice Weidel becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market
If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO
If new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Chancellor.
event_tickerKXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-09-26T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-08-26T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2000
latest_expiration_time2029-08-26T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8400
no_bid_dollars0.7600
no_sub_titleAlice Weidel
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-08-26T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp485.03
open_time2026-08-24T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Alice Weidel becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market
If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO
If new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle:: AfD
tickerKXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-AWEI
titleWill Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?