Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yariv Levin, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
opens
Oct 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
3d ago
0¢
100¢
7
no
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-10-23T23:33:18.736669Z
custom_strike1
3d ago
2¢
98¢
5
yes
3d ago
2¢
98¢
2
yes
3d ago
0¢
100¢
2
no
3d ago
2¢
98¢
2
yes
3d ago
0¢
100¢
10
no
3d ago
2¢
98¢
5
yes
3d ago
2¢
98¢
5
yes
8d ago
0¢
100¢
140
no
9d ago
2¢
98¢
20
yes
9d ago
2¢
98¢
20
yes
9d ago
2¢
98¢
100
yes
9d ago
2¢
98¢
1
yes
9d ago
2¢
98¢
1
yes
9d ago
2¢
98¢
1
yes
9d ago
0¢
100¢
29
no
20d ago
0¢
100¢
6
no
24d ago
0¢
100¢
89
no
25d ago
0¢
100¢
29
no
1mo ago
0¢
100¢
10
no
1mo ago
0¢
100¢
2
no
2mo ago
0¢
100¢
136
no
2mo ago
1¢
100¢
85
no
Individual
Yariv Levin
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.
event_tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0010
latest_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9990
no_bid_dollars0.9800
no_sub_titleYariv Levin
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp1870.37
open_time2025-10-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0010
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0200
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0010
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yariv Levin, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle::
tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YLEV
titleWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?