Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 4 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs.
Counts toward the total:
A government-wide continuing resolution
One covering only some areas, or only specific programs and activities
A full-year continuing resolution
One enacted after a lapse in appropriations has begun
One enacted as a division of a broader law
Does NOT count:
A regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations act
A supplemental appropriations act
Continuing appropriations that do not cover fiscal year 2027
The count ends once all 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations acts are law. A temporary government-wide extension does not end it. If all 12 never become law, the count is final on October 1, 2027.
For fiscal year 2025 the applicable number is 3, the last of which funded the remainder of that year.
opens
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2027 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Dec 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
4
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-10-01T13:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-19T18:38:14.783182Z
event_tickerKXNUMCR-27OCT01
exchange_index
spread8¢mid 21¢
bid517¢
bid20016¢
bid823¢
bid3632¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
0
expected_expiration_time2027-12-30T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-12-30T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike4
last_price_dollars0.0000
latest_expiration_time2027-12-30T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8300
no_bid_dollars0.7500
no_sub_titleAt least 4
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-10-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp0.00
open_time2026-08-20T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1600
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 4 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryA continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs.
Counts toward the total:
A government-wide continuing resolution
One covering only some areas, or only specific programs and activities
A full-year continuing resolution
One enacted after a lapse in appropriations has begun
One enacted as a division of a broader law
Does NOT count:
A regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations act
A supplemental appropriations act
Continuing appropriations that do not cover fiscal year 2027
The count ends once all 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations acts are law. A temporary government-wide extension does not end it. If all 12 never become law, the count is final on October 1, 2027.
For fiscal year 2025 the applicable number is 3, the last of which funded the remainder of that year.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typegreater_or_equal
tickerKXNUMCR-27OCT01-AL4
titleWill the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?