Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem. The Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture do NOT count.
Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it. Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution. Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.
Clay acceptance, peer review, and a prize award are not required.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask9395¢
ask10894¢
ask20085¢
spread8¢mid 81¢
bid577¢
bid20076¢
bid30423¢
bid43522¢
bid775¢
bid5004¢
bid5003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
event_ticker
KXOPENAIANOTHERMILLENNIUM-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8200
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2300
no_bid_dollars0.1500
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T05:00:00Z
open_interest_fp3233.07
open_time2026-09-08T22:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0500
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
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step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem. The Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture do NOT count.
Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it. Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution. Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.
Clay acceptance, peer review, and a prize award are not required.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXOPENAIANOTHERMILLENNIUM-28-28JAN01
titleWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2028?